"A few short months after Brexit, a sense of optimism has returned to the City. However, two key negotiation items remain foremost on everyone’s minds. The first is the right of EU citizens to work in London; the second, the retention of passporting rights."
Morgan Mckinley London Employment Monitor
London Employment Monitor August 2016 highlights:
Surprise August uptick signals job-market resilience
The generally sleepy month of August surprised everyone with its 4% month-on-month rise in both jobs available and job seekers. “The British ethos of ‘keep calm, it's business as usual’ is clearly on full display in this month’s numbers,” said Hakan Enver, Operations Director, Morgan McKinley Financial Services. “Factoring in Brexit, summer breaks and the bank holiday, a 4% increase across the board is remarkable,” continued Enver.
With the pound having been at its weakest against the US dollar in 31 years, as well as growing concerns about terrorist attacks on the continent, more Britons opted to take staycations during this year’s bank holiday breaks. In all, 6% more than last year spent their holidays in the UK. “I suspect the staycation trend influenced this month’s job seeker data, as more people opted to stay closer to home. This allowed more time for professionals to consider their careers and therefore, register their interest with certain recruitment organisations,” said Enver.
Optimism returns to City, though EU negotiations cast shadow over months ahead
A few short months after Brexit, a sense of optimism has returned to the City. A recent EY report found that among the largest financial institutions, fears of post-Brexit chaos have largely subsided, concluding that “the immediate impact of the referendum has not been as stark as many initially feared”. A rising pound and news that unemployment has dropped to its lowest rate since 2005, coupled with Prime Minister Theresa May’s announcement that there will be no second referendum on EU membership, have all added to the sense that no crisis is forthcoming. Some are going even further, speculating that relief from onerous EU regulations like bonus caps and tax-levies could give the British financial industry a healthy boost. BBVA in particular has come out against the caps, which were put in place in 2014, saying they are restricting the bank’s ability to attract the best executives from the technology sector.
But the outlook isn’t all rosy. Year-on-year jobs available decreased by 20% and job seekers fell by 6% year-on-year, mirroring the trend of decline during the first half of 2016 (H1). “There’s no question that 2016 has been a tougher employment climate than 2015”, said Enver “and the ongoing uncertainty as we wait to see the terms of the UK’s negotiations with the EU is clearly casting a shadow over H2”.
Two key negotiation items remain foremost on everyone’s minds. The first is the right of EU citizens to work in London. “Free movement of high quality financial and related professional services talent across the EU is essential to the UK remaining a leading financial centre”, said the financial services lobbying group TheCityUK.
The second issue of concern is the retention of passporting rights. Though it has no intention of relocating its headquarters from London, Lloyd's Chairman John Nelson has made clear that the loss of passporting privileges would require Lloyd’s to move part of its business to an EU member state.
“Failure to protect passporting and to secure the right of EU citizens to live and work in London would certainly have ripple effects on City employment,” said Enver. “Which is why we’ll continue to see industry and political leaders make both issues central parts of negotiations. And the stronger our economy, the stronger our negotiating position”.
London vaults to top of startup rankings
Though Berlin sought to capitalise on the Brexit vote with a snazzy advertising campaign urging London startups to relocate to the German capital, London startups out-raised it by over twice as much funding in H1.
“London is where innovation meets investment. It speaks to the clout of our financial sector that we outperformed other known innovation hubs like Stockholm and Berlin,” said Enver. The London-based leading venture-capital firm Northzone announced that though investors worldwide voiced concerns about Brexit, it was able to attract 300 million euros in investment, a record amount over the firm’s 20-year existence.
Fintech “revolution” brewing in Britain
“This has been a tumultuous year so far for the technology market, in particular within Financial Services,” says Cem Baris, Technology, Sales and Analytics Director at Morgan McKinley. “With so many factors coming into play there’s pressure on the Financial Services industry to revolutionise its outlook on how it interacts with its customers, keep up with the competition whilst dealing with intense strains to cut costs.”
As the fintech industry vies to revolutionise banking, Britain is determined to lead the charge. A recent decision by the Competition & Markets Authority (CMA) is expected to help achieve that goal: The CMA has set a 2018 deadline for UK banks to share, with permission, customer data with third parties so that customers can price compare banks.
“The continued rise of the challenger banks and Fintech companies, which on the whole boast strong digital propositions, are the driving force in the consumer and corporate banking world. Low interest rates leave investors to consider options, which gives innovative and customer-friendly led brands coming to market the biggest advantage,” says Baris.
He continues, “Therefore, roles in digital development and design, such as UX designers, UI design and front-end development remain high in demand. With a strong digital proposition comes bundles of quality customer data, the race to even greater sophistication of customer insight means data engineers, data analysts, and data scientists are sought after.”
“Salaries have remained steady. The big companies have become savvy to this generation of talent, as it turns out money is not the only factor. On their list of needs and wants candidates are assessing how creative, agile, fast paced environments and teams are, and do they have latest technology and processes,” says Baris.
“During the month of August 16, the average salary change for professionals moving from one position to another stayed at 16%. Whilst still an attractive increase, firms are beginning to stand their ground and be more conscious of costs when hiring new talent,” says Enver.
Financial services jobs new to the market August ‘16
Professionals seeking new roles August ‘16
Average change in salary each month August ‘16
Average Salaries and Bonuses for IT Professionals in Financial Services, London
Average Salaries and Bonuses for IT Professionals in Investment Banking, London
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Tel: 0207 092 0023
Monthly new jobs and new candidates
From May 2013, the London Employment Monitor now uses Morgan McKinley’s own weekly records of new permanent and temporary job vacancies and new candidates registering with the firm for employment. Statistics for the full market are derived using Morgan McKinley’s market share.
* Chart (3) illustrates the average percentage change between original salary and new salary offer for professionals securing new roles each month.
IT Professionals Salaries and Bonus Data
Charts (4 & 5) data powered by Emolument.com, retrieved 06/09/2016, and provided directly by IT professionals in Investment Banking and Financial Services industries.
About Morgan McKinley
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With offices across Ireland, the UK, EMEA, Asia and Australia, the company’s professional recruitment expertise spans banking & financial services; commerce & industry and professional services. Morgan McKinley is a preferred supplier to many of the major employers in its specialist sectors and thousands of smaller local firms.
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